𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨𝐬 𝐮𝐩 𝐭𝐨 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖 - what can we expect? 🔜🌐
Second post of our asset management LinkedIn special week 2024 in cooperation with BankingHub by zeb: In our recent European Asset Management Study 2024 - Performance under pressure - , we take a look well into the future and forecast possible developments up to 2028 based on the key figures of the last three years.
➡𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐢𝐬 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨: Extrapolation of the historical average development of the last five years for AuM, cost and earnings growth until 2028. Cost-income ratio (CIR) deteriorates further from 70% to 75%.
➡𝐁𝐞𝐬𝐭-𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨: Stable market performance and a 30% increase in net new money (NNM) growth with stagnating costs (perfect economies of scale).
➡𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐭-𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨: Stable market performance, but NNM growth falls by 50%; we assume that revenue growth will fall by 20%, while cost growth will increase by 20%.
Interested in more? Don´t hesitate to reach out to one of our experts Carsten Wittrock - Norman J. Karrer - Wolfgang Schlaffer - Manuel Hobisch
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You can find more articles from our theme week at #assetmanagementzeb